Can Equity Option Returns Be Explained by a Factor Model? IPCA Says Yes

AuthorA. Goyal, A. Saretto
JournalThe Review of Financial Studies
Date16 Dec. 2024
CategoryAcademic Publications
Volume(in press)

A number of delta-hedged equity option strategies exhibit very large average returns. We show that much of the profitability of these strategies can be explained by an IPCA factor model. The economic magnitude of the return-adjustment produced by IPCA is impressive: Even before transaction costs, the average IPCA alpha of 46 longshort trading strategies constructed on previously discovered signals, is close to zero and contrasts with average realized returns of over 80 basis points per month. Our IPCA model can be used as a benchmark for assessing the performance of other option portfolios.