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Marc Paolella is Professor of Empirical Finance at the University of Zurich. Professor Paolella is the author of several books on graduate-level probability, statistics, and time series analysis. His research papers have been published in the top academic journals in his areas of expertise.

Expertise

Professor Paolella studies different modeling techniques that claim to better forecast financial assets' returns and better select an optimal portfolio. He recently constructed a momentum factor that identifies cross-sectional winners and losers based on a weighting scheme that incorporates all the price data, over the entire lookback period, as opposed to only the window's first and last price points. This novel weighting scheme provides an economic interpretation by combining both reversal and momentum patterns. A subset of the stocks listed on the NYSE, AMEX, and Nasdaq indexes proves that his newly developed momentum strategy achieves significantly higher risk-adjusted returns and mitigates the notoriously large drawdowns of the classical momentum and short-term reversal strategies. Asset managers can benefit from these findings.

Expertise Fields

  • Financial Markets
    • Financial Forecasting
  • Portfolio Management and Asset Classes
    • Portfolio Management

Current Publications:

N°22-88: Density and Risk Prediction with Non-Gaussian COMFORT Models

N°22-87: Momentum Without Crashes

Nº 21-73: Heterogeneous Tail Generalized Common Factor Modeling

Nº 21-65: Various Course Proposals for: Mathematics with a View Towards (the Theoretical Underpinnings of) Machine Learning

N° 19-51: A Non-Elliptical Orthogonal GARCH Model for Portfolio Selection under Transaction Costs

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