Monetary Policy with Low Real Interest Rates: Implications and Prospects
Dr. Barbara Rudolf, Monetary Policy Analysis, Economic Advisor, Swiss National Bank
While central banks around the world have been increasing their policy rates, we still live in an environment of historically very low real interest rates. This generates challenges, which are added to those of the current context of higher inflation and higher government debt, countries' unequal recovery from COVID, and war in Europe. There is significant uncertainty regarding the economic outlook, in particular concerning future growth, future inflation, and future interest rates. This is challenging for central banks and governments, but also for the financial sector.
Objective
This Master Class provides the background necessary for understanding the current environment and potential future scenarios. It takes a global perspective, but also places special emphasis on Switzerland, and will enable participants to sharpen their understanding of the drivers of global interest rates and of monetary policies.
The Class will start with a review of the recent evolution of various types of interest rates and the debate around the causes of that evolution. We will discuss the recent strategies of the main central banks, from very loose monetary policy to the current phase of tightening. Special attention will be given to the evolution of yield curves and bank rates in this context. Participants will have the opportunity to exchange on how this affects their daily business and how they cope best.
Regarding future prospects, the Master Class will explore the various forces at play, and review the options available to central banks and the interaction between monetary and fiscal policies.
Target Audience
The Master Class is aimed at professionals in the financial industry who are interested in central bank actions, in global economic questions, and/or are focusing on fixed income investments.
SFI Master Classes Canton Schwyz Series
In addition to the regular SFI Master Classes, we offer a special Master Class series in close cooperation with the Office for Economy Canton Schwyz, focusing on the local financial industry. This special series is open free of charge to employees of SFI’s founding institutions and to all employees of companies in the financial industry domiciled in the Canton of Schwyz.
SAQ Recertification
This Master Class is an acknowledged SAQ recertification measure for the CWMA, CCoB, Affluent-, SME-, and Individual Client Advisor profile and comprises four learning hours.